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Extending Expected Improvement for High-Dimensional Stochastic Optimization of Expensive Black-Box Functions
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: Design optimization under uncertainty is notoriously difficult when the objective function is expensive to evaluate. State-of-the-art techniques, e.g., stochastic optimization or sampling average approximation, fail to ...
Bayesian Optimal Design of Experiments for Inferring the Statistical Expectation of Expensive Black-Box Functions
Publisher: American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: Bayesian optimal design of experiments (BODEs) have been successful in acquiring information about a quantity of interest (QoI) which depends on a black-box function. BODE is characterized by sequentially querying the ...
Descriptive Models of Sequential Decisions in Engineering Design: An Experimental Study
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: Engineering design involves information acquisition decisions such as selecting designs in the design space for testing, selecting information sources, and deciding when to stop design exploration. Existing literature has ...
A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Extracting Individuals’ Theory-Based Causal Knowledge
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: Extracting an individual’s scientific knowledge is essential for improving educational assessment and understanding cognitive tasks in engineering activities such as reasoning and decision-making. However, knowledge ...
Computationally Efficient Variational Approximations for Bayesian Inverse Problems
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: The major drawback of the Bayesian approach to model calibration is the computational burden involved in describing the posterior distribution of the unknown model parameters arising from the fact that typical Markov chain ...
Quantifying the Impact of Domain Knowledge and Problem Framing on Sequential Decisions in Engineering Design
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: Many decisions within engineering systems design are typically made by humans. These decisions significantly affect the design outcomes and the resources used within design processes. While decision theory is increasingly ...
A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Extracting Individuals’ TheoryBased Causal Knowledge
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: Extracting an individual’s scientific knowledge is essential for improving educational assessment and understanding cognitive tasks in engineering activities such as reasoning and decisionmaking. However, knowledge extraction ...